Day 9: Journey to wealth creation and humble life | Return simulation | x to 1000x
With more time spent on learning about the Mr. Market, I have, for now, have put together a simple simulation using the concepts I have learned from the book by Manoj Arora and Dr. Vijay Mallik's calculation.
Sales CAGR for 3, 5 and 7 years is > 10%
Net Profit Margin CAGR is growing y-o-y.
Calculate the SSGR and check whether it is quite higher than the Sales CAGR.
P/E shouldn't be highly expensive, try to be less than 30-40.
Calculate the intrinsic value using the following
Price to Earning Growth (y-o-y)
Earning per Share (EPS) growth.
Intrinsic value = (Current PE (1 + PEgr%) x Current EPS ( 1 + EPSgr)
Current Market Price should be atleast 25% less than Intrinsic Value.
Read all latest annual reports, ratings by CRISIL, FITCH, CARE etc to guage the overall credit ratings and business direction.
And ofcourse promoter shareholding pattern.
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