Why the Dumb Method Succeeds in Crypto Futures Trading

Many traders become overwhelmed by complex indicators and high-frequency trading strategies—often resulting in significant losses! Yet, our group, often dubbed "fools," adhered to an exceptionally straightforward approach, achieving a win rate exceeding 95% and gradually compounding small accounts into substantial wealth. The core principles are distilled into three essential rules: avoid greed, refrain from predicting market movements, and never oppose the trend.
Deconstructing the 95% win-rate "fool's method": a three-step process accessible to all—trading futures can be as intuitive as progressing in a game.
No elaborate techniques required; simply align with major market trends. The strategy's simplicity allows it to be easily referenced during trading sessions.
1️⃣ Coin Selection: Concentrate exclusively on the "Big Two"—avoid becoming exit liquidity!
Focus solely on BTC and ETH.
Rationale: Their substantial market capitalizations foster stability and reduce susceptibility to manipulation by large holders. Steering clear of volatile altcoins underpins high success rates.
2️⃣ Entry: Follow the trend exclusively—never attempt to time tops or bottoms!
Utilize only the 4-hour chart with the MA60 (60-period moving average).
- Price > MA60 and the line ascends → Execute long positions exclusively!
- Price < MA60 and the line descends → Execute short positions exclusively!
Abandon questions like "Is this a peak or trough?" and let the trend dictate actions.
Illustration: During BTC's ascent from $40K to $70K in 2024, adhering to MA60 long signals would have secured confident gains, with market corrections failing to trigger premature exits.
3️⃣ Stop Loss & Take Profit: Apply fixed ratios decisively!
- Stop Loss: 5%! An inviolable rule. For a $10K position, close immediately if value drops to $9.5K. Do not hold—even if prices rebound, prioritize capital preservation to sustain trading longevity.
- Take Profit: 10%! Exit upon target achievement. A $10K position reaching $11K warrants profit-taking.
💥 The pivotal strategy for rapid wealth accumulation among novices: Futures Rolling Compound Approach!
A high win rate forms the foundation, while compounding acts as an accelerant—reinvest profits to scale positions, safeguarding original capital.
Step 1: Risk only 20% of capital per trade!
With a $100K bankroll, allocate $20K to the initial trade and secure the remaining $80K.
Even a total loss (capped at $1K via 5% stop loss) leaves core capital intact.
Step 2: Roll profits incrementally—increase base only after doubling!
$20K yields $2K profit (10%) → transfer $2K to a "profit pool."
Subsequent trades maintain a $20K base.
Once the profit pool accumulates to $20K (matching initial capital), elevate the base position to $30K.
All expansions derive from profits, limiting risk to accrued gains.
How to transform $100K into $1M?
Assumptions: Average trade duration = 15 days (aligning with mainstream coin cycles), 95% win rate, 10% take profit.
Round 1: $20K → $2K profit → profit pool = $2K.
Round 10: profit pool = $20K → position size increases to $30K → $3K per win.
Round 30: profit pool = $50K → position size increases to $70K → $7K per win.
Mastering this methodology enables consistent advancement in cryptocurrency markets—repeatedly securing gains! 🚀
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